My friend Ed Morrissey posted this map. I agree with Ed except Virginia. Give McCain Virginia and he wins 286-252, incredibly the same as Bush-Kerry in 2004. I think that New Hampshire is in play, too! McCain 292-248!

I started posting at My View by Silvio Canto, Jr. four years ago. My first post was predicting Pres. Bush’s reelection. I came pretty close to the final popular vote (51-48%) and EVs of 286-252.

Maybe I was lucky!

Dick Morris is saying that independents are moving to McCain:

“But the basic point, one week before Election Day, is that even if Obama clings to a four- or five-point lead over McCain in the polling, the election is not over.

The question is not so much how large his lead is over the Republican, but whether or not he is topping 50 percent.

As long as the polling leaves him below that mark, he is vulnerable and could well lose.”

To be honest, we face a very uncertain election.

I have never been so confused about any presidential election since 1976. At 7pm that night, I was certain that Carter would win. At 2am, we didn’t know because of Pres. Ford’s surge!

Are the polls trending McCain? Some are are some aren’t!

What else can I say? I’m totally confused over these polls.

On the popular vote, it will be a dead heat. It’s possible that Obama wins the popular vote because of very heavy black turnouts in the south. Also, don’t forget that Obama will win California, the most populous state.

However, the most under reported story of 2008 may be a huge Republican turnout. McCain and Palin are drawing huge crowds all over. Don’t be shocked if you see large suburban and rural turnouts!

The “media in the tank” for Obama has been pushing the narrative that Dems can’t wait to vote. OK. I’m sure that Dems are excited. However, don’t underestimate our ability to turn out either!

And we will!

Trust me. We will turnout!